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Live on Substack #3: Unmasking the Strategy Success Trap

Why Booms Can Lead to Busts! (a la Peloton, Fiverr et al)

Unmasking the Strategy Success Trap: Why Booms Lead to Busts!

How should your company react to amazing success? Join us for a spirited conversation diagnosing the fatal strategic missteps of companies that went through unearned booms during COVID-19.

We reveal why giants like Peloton and Fiverr abandoned their profitable, long-term business models to chase massive, temporary demand.

We explore how this pursuit of tactical success led to impulsive, nearsighted decisions—such as Peloton becoming a capital-intensive manufacturing/logistics operation—which guaranteed a crash and painful layoffs. Discover the critical difference between “structural change” (permanent) and “cyclical noise” (temporary).

Learn the essential discipline of long-term strategy. A sound strategy must act as a risk-management tool during good times, allowing companies like Amazon and Uber to leverage windfalls to build a lasting, sustainable advantage.

True success is measured not by the peak of a boom, but by the depth of a normalization the company can survive. Prepare your company for the threat of a disruption brought about by success beyond its wildest dreams.

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